Sport Picks
RWDM Brussels vs Lierse SK Prediction & H2H Stats
Belgium
Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Edmond Machtens Stadium, Brussels 
Match Events
4'
4'
Simbakoli U.
59'
59'
Persyn T.
59'
59'
Stanic A.
AI Match Summary
The Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 game between RWDM Brussels and Lierse SK finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RWDM Brussels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and RWDM Brussels come out ahead of Lierse SK on wins alone.
- Model gives RWDM Brussels a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 20%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RWDM Brussels | Lierse SK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Lierse SK
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs RWDM Brussels
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs RWDM Brussels
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Lierse SK
3:0
Apr 22, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs RWDM Brussels
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RWDM Brussels Compare
Top Goalscorer Simbakoli U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lierse SK Compare
Top Goalscorer Van Meirvenne C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RWDM Brussels 49 / 100
Lierse SK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RWDM Brussels Lierse SK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RWDM Brussels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RWDM Brussels scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Lierse SK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
RWDM Brussels went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
RWDM Brussels VS Lierse SK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
RWDM Brussels
(Home) 03 Oct
St. Gilloise 2
4 : 2 RWDM Brussels
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Union Rochefortoise
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1 RWDM Brussels
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0 Charleroi B
06 Sept
Onhaye
0 : 1 RWDM Brussels
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Union Rochefortoise
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0 Charleroi B
29 Aug
RWDM Brussels
3 : 0 Flenu
11 Apr
RWDM Brussels
2 : 1 Anderlecht U23
21 Mar
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 3
Lierse SK
(Away) 27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0 RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0 Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 74:23 | 88 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 59:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:31 | 64 |
| 4 | RFC Liege | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44:39 | 53 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 44:40 | 51 |
| 7 | Eupen | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 44:36 | 47 |
| 8 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 48:45 | 42 |
| 9 | Gent U23 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 42:51 | 41 |
| 10 | Lierse SK | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 38 |
| 11 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Francs Borains | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | 34 |
| 13 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 50:54 | 33 |
| 14 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 15 | Genk U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 42:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U23 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 33:55 | 21 |
| 17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26:68 | 16 |
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