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Ryazan vs Kvant Obninsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ryazan play Kvant Obninsk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Ryazan are favorites here. Recently, Ryazan averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Kvant Obninsk averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Ryazan won 2, Kvant Obninsk won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Ryazan and 0.63 for Kvant Obninsk. This points to a Ryazan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ryazan
29%
Draws
13%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ryazan picked up more points recently compared to Kvant Obninsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 29%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.29 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kvant Obninsk
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kvant Obninsk
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Ryazan
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kvant Obninsk
1:2
Jun 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Ryazan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Khokhlov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sofin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 58 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Kvant Obninsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ryazan & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ryazan attacking → ← attacking Kvant Obninsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryazan scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kvant Obninsk let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ryazan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kvant Obninsk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 10
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88