Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ryukyu vs Kumamoto

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa
Ryukyu Logo

Ryukyu

0 - 1
FT
Kumamoto Logo

Kumamoto

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Funabashi Y.
39'
Iwashita W.
50' Event
Iwashita W.
Assist: Bae Jeong-Min
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Ryukyu and Kumamoto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ryukyu
20%
Draws
40%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kumamoto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ryukyu a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 17%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryukyu Kumamoto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Kumamoto
0:1
Jun 21, 2023 Emperors Cup
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
3:2
Jul 30, 2022 J2 League
Ryukyu vs Kumamoto
2:0
May 8, 2022 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Ryukyu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryukyu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwashita W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 36 / 100
Kumamoto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryukyu Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kumamoto conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ryukyu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ryukyu VS Kumamoto
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryukyu

(Home)
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Yokohama FC
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
22 Aug
FC Osaka
2 : 2
Ryukyu
Page 1 of 6

Kumamoto

(Away)
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2
Kumamoto
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
19 Aug
Gainare Tottori
3 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)