Sport Picks

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S. Agata vs Nuova Gioiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Capogna P.
17' Event
Capogna P.
26' Event
Capogna P.

AI Match Summary

S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
S. Agata
30%
Draws
31%
Nuova Gioiese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • S. Agata have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on S. Agata taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.47 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Nuova Gioiese
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Capogna P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Marcellino P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 77 / 100
Nuova Gioiese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Nuova Gioiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: S. Agata scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Nuova Gioiese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

S. Agata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Agata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Nuova Gioiese

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)