Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

S. Agata

6 - 0

Nuova Gioiese

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Capogna P.

17'

Capogna P.

26'

Capogna P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

S. Agata

17%

Draws

13%

Nuova Gioiese

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

S. Agata have won more games recently than Nuova Gioiese.
70% — that's where the model lands on S. Agata taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

S. Agata Clean Sheet 68%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	S. Agata	Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	8	2
Draws	10	3
Losses	14	24
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs S. Agata

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I

S. Agata vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Capogna P.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Marcellino P.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 77 / 100

Nuova Gioiese 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

S. Agata Nuova Gioiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: S. Agata scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Nuova Gioiese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

S. Agata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Agata VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0