Sport Picks

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S. Agata vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Russotto A.

AI Match Summary

Siracusa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
S. Agata
35%
Draws
42%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Siracusa have won more games recently than S. Agata.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Siracusa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Siracusa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Siracusa
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs S. Agata
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Siracusa
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs S. Agata
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Russotto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 36 / 100
Siracusa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siracusa conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: S. Agata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Siracusa

(Away)
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)