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S. Morning W vs Colo Colo W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Morning W play Colo Colo W in the Primera Division Women 2025. Colo Colo W are favorites here. Recently, S. Morning W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Colo Colo W averaged 3.48 goals scored and 0.14 conceded. In past meetings, S. Morning W won 0, Colo Colo W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 13, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for S. Morning W and 1.86 for Colo Colo W. This points to a Colo Colo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
S. Morning W
15%
Draws
61%
Colo Colo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colo Colo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • S. Morning W picked up more points recently compared to Colo Colo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
S. Morning W Clean Sheet 10%
Colo Colo W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning W Colo Colo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 26
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.23 3.48
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Colo Colo W
0:4
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Division Women
Colo Colo W vs S. Morning W
9:0
Jul 24, 2024 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Colo Colo W
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 Primera Division Women
Colo Colo W vs S. Morning W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Morning W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Colo Colo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning W 24 / 100
Colo Colo W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning W Colo Colo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Colo Colo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

S. Morning W attacking → ← attacking Colo Colo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Morning W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Colo Colo W let in goals in 14% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

S. Morning W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colo Colo W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 79
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W262600133:578
2U. De Chile W26212375:2165
3U. Espanola W26156541:2151
4Coquimbo W26155657:2950
5U. Catolica W26143960:2545
6Deportes Iquique W26136742:2645
7Huachipato W261131234:4936
8Palestino W26951240:4332
9S. Wanderers W26971040:4528
10S. Morning W26941329:5228
11U. De Concepcion W26461624:5518
12Recoleta W26431914:8115
13Everton W26351819:6914
14A. Italiano W26032319:1063