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S. Morning W vs Palestino W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
De La Torre L.
66' Event
Luna D.
83' Event
Pastenes M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division Women 2025 game between S. Morning W and Palestino W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Morning W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
S. Morning W
33%
Draws
27%
Palestino W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: S. Morning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and S. Morning W come out ahead of Palestino W on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on S. Morning W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and S. Morning W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
S. Morning W Clean Sheet 10%
Palestino W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning W Palestino W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 4 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Palestino W
2:1
May 9, 2025 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs S. Morning W
2:0
Aug 4, 2024 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs S. Morning W
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Primera Division Women
S. Morning W vs Palestino W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Morning W Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Torre L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Palestino W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastenes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning W 38 / 100
Palestino W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning W Palestino W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Palestino W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

S. Morning W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palestino W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Morning W VS Palestino W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo W262600133:578
2U. De Chile W26212375:2165
3U. Espanola W26156541:2151
4Coquimbo W26155657:2950
5U. Catolica W26143960:2545
6Deportes Iquique W26136742:2645
7Huachipato W261131234:4936
8Palestino W26951240:4332
9S. Wanderers W26971040:4528
10S. Morning W26941329:5228
11U. De Concepcion W26461624:5518
12Recoleta W26431914:8115
13Everton W26351819:6914
14A. Italiano W26032319:1063