Sport Picks
S. Wanderers vs Magallanes
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso 
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Navarro L. In: Villarroel M.
Out: Navarro L.
31'
31'
Valenzuela C.
46'
46'
Sub
Martinez B. In: Avello F.
Out: Martinez B.
AI Match Summary
S. Wanderers in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- S. Wanderers have won more games recently than Magallanes.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 17%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Wanderers | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Magallanes
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Magallanes
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Luna J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camarda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Coronel S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Wanderers 30 / 100
Magallanes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Wanderers Magallanes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Magallanes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: S. Wanderers scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
S. Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
S. Wanderers VS Magallanes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Wanderers
(Home) 08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0 S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4 Union La Calera
Page 1 of 3
Magallanes
(Away) 13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
15 Aug
Rangers
2 : 3 Magallanes
09 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 4 Magallanes
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
