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SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015
Thu, Jun 5, 2014
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS play Johvi Phoenix in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS averaged 1.88 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. Johvi Phoenix averaged 2.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS won 0, Johvi Phoenix won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 5, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS and 1.80 for Johvi Phoenix. This points to a Johvi Phoenix double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS
15%
Draws
53%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS picked up more points recently compared to Johvi Phoenix.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS Clean Sheet 11%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2014 Estonian Cup
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS vs Johvi Phoenix
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 31 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS Johvi Phoenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Johvi Phoenix & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS attacking → ← attacking Johvi Phoenix

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS scored in 100% of their last 7 games.

Johvi Phoenix let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Johvi Phoenix lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75