Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Bank Respublika Arena

Sabah Baku

1 - 2

Neftci Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

Isayev A.

10'

Shtogrin A.

45'

Safarov E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sabah Baku and Neftci Baku finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftci Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sabah Baku

30%

Draws

34%

Neftci Baku

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Neftci Baku on wins alone.
Sabah Baku are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 14%

Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sabah Baku	Neftci Baku
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	21	15
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	9
Goals Scored	1.38	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Dec 8, 2025 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 14, 2025 Premier League

Neftci Baku vs Sabah Baku

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

May 24, 2025 Premier League

Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Apr 23, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup

Sabah Baku vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Isayev A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Shtogrin A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mathew I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 35 / 100

Neftci Baku 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sabah Baku Neftci Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Neftci Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sabah Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Neftci Baku

1.38 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15