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Sabah Baku vs Kapaz

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazır
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Match Events

54'
Huseynli R.
60'
Sub
Ba M. In: Nabiyev F.
Out: Ba M.
60'
Sub
Shahverdiyev E. In: Samadov U.
Out: Shahverdiyev E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sabah Baku and Kapaz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sabah Baku
6%
Draws
4%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sabah Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah Baku a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 68%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabah Baku Kapaz
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Kapaz
0:1
Jan 31, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Sabah Baku
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Parris K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabah Baku 95 / 100
Kapaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabah Baku Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah Baku found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (34 games).

Kapaz let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sabah Baku went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabah Baku VS Kapaz
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabah Baku

(Home)
28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2
Sabah Baku
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7

Kapaz

(Away)
23 May
Kapaz
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
15 May
Araz PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz
08 May
Sabah Baku
0 : 1
Kapaz
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
26 Apr
Shamakhi
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)