Sport Picks
Sabah Baku vs Zira FK
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup Palms Sports Arena, Baku 
Match Events
3'
3'
Aliyev Q.
4'
4'
Aydin E.
45'
45'
Papunashvili G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Sabah Baku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zira FK haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sabah Baku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 16%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sabah Baku | Zira FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 23 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabah Baku vs Zira FK
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Zira FK
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Sabah Baku
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Zira FK
3:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Sabah Baku
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sabah Baku Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbina O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mickels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Zira FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Aydin E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sabah Baku 31 / 100
Zira FK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sabah Baku Zira FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sabah Baku scored in 91% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Sabah Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Zira FK conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sabah Baku VS Zira FK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sabah Baku
(Home) 28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2 Sabah Baku
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0 KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0 TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0 KuPS
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0 TNS
17 May
Sabah Baku
1 : 2 Neftci Baku
13 May
Sabah Baku
2 : 1 Zira FK
08 May
Sabah Baku
0 : 1 Kapaz
Page 1 of 3
Zira FK
(Away) 23 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0 Zira FK
16 Jul
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 3 Zira FK
08 Jul
Zira FK
3 : 0 Torpedo Kutaisi
23 May
Araz PFK
3 : 2 Zira FK
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 7
23 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0 Zira FK
16 Jul
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 3 Zira FK
23 May
Araz PFK
3 : 2 Zira FK
13 May
Sabah Baku
2 : 1 Zira FK
08 May
Imisli FK
0 : 0 Zira FK
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1
