Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sabail 2 vs Gabala 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Rustamov E.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Sabail 2 and Gabala 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabail 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sabail 2
35%
Draws
18%
Gabala 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sabail 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gabala 2's 1.6 goals per match outpaces what Sabail 2 have produced (1.53).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sabail 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabail 2 Gabala 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2023 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Gabala 2
1:0
Dec 1, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Sabail 2
1:1
Mar 15, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Sabail 2
4:0
Nov 11, 2021 I Liqa
Sabail 2 vs Gabala 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sabail 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rustamov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gabala 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabail 2 41 / 100
Gabala 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabail 2 Gabala 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabail 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabail 2 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Gabala 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sabail 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sabail 2 VS Gabala 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabail 2

(Home)
23 May
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Sabail 2
16 May
Sabail 2
0 : 0
MOIK Baku
08 May
Araz PFK
3 : 1
Sabail 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
24 Apr
Turan 2
0 : 2
Sabail 2
Page 1 of 6

Gabala 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)