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Sabinanigo vs Fraga

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Sabinanigo and Fraga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fraga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sabinanigo
15%
Draws
42%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabinanigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraga come out ahead of Sabinanigo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sabinanigo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sabinanigo Clean Sheet 19%
Fraga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabinanigo Fraga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sabinanigo vs Fraga
1:2
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Sabinanigo
5:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Sabinanigo
0:0
Dec 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sabinanigo vs Fraga
3:0
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sabinanigo vs Fraga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabinanigo 36 / 100
Fraga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabinanigo Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sabinanigo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sabinanigo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sabinanigo VS Fraga
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabinanigo

(Home)
26 Aug
Sabinanigo
1 : 0
Huesca B
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sabinanigo
1 : 2
Fraga
30 May
Tamarite
0 : 2
Sabinanigo
23 May
Sabinanigo
3 : 0
San Juan Zaragoza
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Fraga

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
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