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Sabugy vs Queimadense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2025
Sabugy Logo

Sabugy

3 - 1
FT
Queimadense Logo

Queimadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sabugy in this Paraibano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabugy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sabugy
15%
Draws
21%
Queimadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabugy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Sabugy haven't matched Queimadense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sabugy Clean Sheet 10%
Queimadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sabugy Queimadense
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.72 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Paraibano 2
Sabugy vs Queimadense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sabugy 30 / 100
Queimadense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sabugy Queimadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queimadense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Queimadense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Queimadense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sabugy scored in 39% of their last 18 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sabugy VS Queimadense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sabugy

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 0
Sabugy
11 Sept
Sabugy
2 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
08 Sept
Sabugy
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 4

Queimadense

(Away)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
14 Sept
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 0
Queimadense
11 Sept
Queimadense
1 : 1
Confianca PB
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 23:10 19
2 Cruzeiro-PB 9 5 2 2 15:13 17
3 Confianca PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 Miramar EC 9 4 3 2 20:8 15
5 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 3 2 14:11 15
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 2 3 15:8 14
7 Serrano PB 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
8 Spartax 9 2 2 5 15:23 8
9 Queimadense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
10 Sabugy 9 1 0 8 6:31 3
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)