Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup 2025 Heart Health Park, Sacramento, CA

Sacramento Republic

1 - 0

AV Alta FC

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Herrera J.

46'

Sub

Desmond L. In: Spaulding R.

Out: Desmond L.

59'

Lay O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sacramento Republic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sacramento Republic

30%

Draws

34%

AV Alta FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sacramento Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

AV Alta FC haven't matched Sacramento Republic's recent run of results.
Sacramento Republic are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Sacramento Republic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sacramento Republic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 20%

AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sacramento Republic	AV Alta FC
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	6	10
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup

Sacramento Republic vs AV Alta FC

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sacramento Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

AV Alta FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sacramento Republic 36 / 100

AV Alta FC 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sacramento Republic AV Alta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sacramento Republic scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: AV Alta FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sacramento Republic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sacramento Republic VS AV Alta FC

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sacramento Republic

(Home)

26 Jul

Oakland Roots

1 : 3

Sacramento Republic

18 Jul

Charleston

1 : 1

Sacramento Republic

12 Jul

Athletic Club Boise

2 : 0

Sacramento Republic

09 Jul

Sacramento Republic

2 : 1

Rhode Island

21 Jun

Sacramento Republic

0 : 1

New Mexico

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AV Alta FC

(Away)

26 Jul

AV Alta FC

0 : 0

Westchester SC

18 Jul

One Knoxville

2 : 3

AV Alta FC

15 Jul

Chattanooga Red Wolves

1 : 0

AV Alta FC

12 Jul

AV Alta FC

2 : 1

Phoenix Rising

06 Jul

AV Alta FC

1 : 1

Charlotte Independence

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