Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Safa Baku

1 - 0

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Tomarov K.

45'

Zamanov E.

90'

Chipesse A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Safa Baku and Sahdag Qusar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Safa Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Safa Baku

30%

Draws

34%

Sahdag Qusar

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Safa Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
Safa Baku are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Safa Baku Clean Sheet 20%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Safa Baku	Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Liqa

Safa Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 5, 2026 I Liqa

Safa Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 27, 2025 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Safa Baku

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Mar 3, 2005 Premier League

Sahdag Qusar vs Safa Baku

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Nov 9, 2004 Premier League

Safa Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Safa Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamanov E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Safa Baku 36 / 100

Sahdag Qusar 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Safa Baku Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Safa Baku's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Safa Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Safa Baku VS Sahdag Qusar

1.5 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18