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Sagrada vs Guelson

Angola Angola

Girabola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagrada in this Girabola matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagrada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sagrada
17%
Draws
13%
Guelson
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sagrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagrada lately — more wins on the board than Guelson.
  • Win probability leans Sagrada's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 20%
Guelson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sagrada Guelson
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.88 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Sagrada
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Girabola
Sagrada vs Guelson
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sagrada 67 / 100
Guelson 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sagrada Guelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagrada found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Guelson conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sagrada stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sagrada VS Guelson
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagrada

(Home)
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
17 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
09 May
Redonda
0 : 2
Sagrada
06 May
Sagrada
0 : 0
Luanda City
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Guelson

(Away)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petro Atletico30226263:1572
2Wiliete30188449:2962
3Primeiro de Agosto301512347:2257
4Desportivo Huila301210835:2646
5Kabuscorp301012826:2242
6Bravos do Maquis301261233:3042
7Interclube30913835:2840
8CD Lunda Sul3010101027:2840
9Primeiro de Maio301071329:3337
10Sagrada308111133:4035
11Sao Salvador30981327:3335
12Academica308111125:3035
13C.R.D. Libolo30971426:3734
14Luanda City30961521:4533
15Redonda30561915:4721
16Guelson30632124:5021
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)