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Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Al Essawi A.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Obeidat M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Sahab and Moghayer Al Sarhan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sahab
15%
Draws
85%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moghayer Al Sarhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sahab come out ahead of Moghayer Al Sarhan on wins alone.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sahab Clean Sheet 10%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahab Moghayer Al Sarhan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
4:2
May 1, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:1
Nov 3, 2023 Premier League
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
1:1
Jul 2, 2023 Shield Cup
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
0:1
Sep 8, 2022 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Obeidat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahab 34 / 100
Moghayer Al Sarhan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahab Moghayer Al Sarhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moghayer Al Sarhan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moghayer Al Sarhan let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Sahab scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Moghayer Al Sarhan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahab VS Moghayer Al Sarhan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
7 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahab

(Home)
20 Oct
Al Salt
10 : 1
Sahab
14 Dec
Moghayer Al Sarhan
4 : 2
Sahab
18 Jun
Al Salt
2 : 1
Sahab
25 May
Sahab
1 : 2
Al Hussein
19 May
Al Wehdat
6 : 2
Sahab
Page 1 of 6

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Away)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al-Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 19 2 1 45:6 59
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 22 18 3 1 63:14 57
3 Al Wehdat 22 14 6 2 38:14 48
4 Al Ramtha 22 11 2 9 30:22 35
5 Al Salt 22 9 1 12 25:27 28
6 Maan 22 7 5 10 22:30 26
7 Aqaba 22 6 7 9 19:38 25
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 1 14 21:36 22
9 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 6 3 13 21:38 21
10 Al Ahli 22 5 5 12 17:32 20
11 Sahab 22 4 6 12 22:42 18
12 Al Jalil 22 1 9 12 11:35 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Qualification)