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Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

0 - 0
FT
Gancabasar Logo

Gancabasar

Our Tip

Match Events

86'
Andzouono E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sahdag Qusar
20%
Draws
36%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Gancabasar.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 20%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar Gancabasar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar
0:0
Feb 12, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Gancabasar
4:2
Oct 23, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Sahdag Qusar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 49 / 100
Gancabasar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sahdag Qusar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gancabasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS Gancabasar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Gancabasar

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)