Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Veysov E.
82'
Asurov Y.
82'
Asurov Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sahdag Qusar
17%
Draws
13%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar haven't matched MOIK Baku's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 68%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahdag Qusar MOIK Baku
Matches Played 40 45
Wins 17 19
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Mar 12, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku
1:1
Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
1:2
Mar 4, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku
0:0
Oct 4, 2016 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Veysov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

MOIK Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahdag Qusar 77 / 100
MOIK Baku 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahdag Qusar MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sahdag Qusar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sahdag Qusar scored in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Defensive concern: MOIK Baku conceded in 73% of 45 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sahdag Qusar VS MOIK Baku
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahdag Qusar

(Home)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 8

MOIK Baku

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)