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Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale

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Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
Sahel Logo

Sahel

0 - 0
FT
AS Garde Nationale Logo

AS Garde Nationale

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Sahel and AS Garde Nationale finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sahel
30%
Draws
31%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of Sahel on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahel AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.78 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahel 32 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahel AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sahel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sahel's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: AS Garde Nationale conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sahel VS AS Garde Nationale
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahel

(Home)
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
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AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
08 Jun
Espoir
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)