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Sahel vs Urana

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
Sahel Logo

Sahel

1 - 0
FT
Urana Logo

Urana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sahel in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sahel
30%
Draws
23%
Urana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahel have won more games recently than Urana.
  • Sahel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Urana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sahel Urana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Urana
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs Sahel
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Urana
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs Sahel
0:0
Feb 29, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Urana
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sahel 85 / 100
Urana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sahel Urana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sahel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sahel found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Sahel VS Urana
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sahel

(Home)
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
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Urana

(Away)
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
20 Jun
US Gendarmerie
0 : 0
Urana
17 Jun
Tagour
3 : 0
Urana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)