Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint-Denis vs Marsouins

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Saint-Denis and Marsouins finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Denis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Saint-Denis
30%
Draws
8%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint-Denis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Saint-Denis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saint-Denis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saint-Denis here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Denis Marsouins
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.1 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Marsouins
6:1
May 18, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Denis
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Marsouins
4:0
Mar 27, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Denis
0:1
Nov 15, 2020 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Denis
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Denis 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Denis Marsouins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Saint-Denis found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Marsouins let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Saint-Denis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Denis VS Marsouins
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Denis

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Marsouins

(Away)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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