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Stadium Background

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Sint Maarten

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Myers J.
32' Event
Pata I.
46'
Sub
Clarke K. In: Sawyers R.
Out: Clarke K.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Sint Maarten finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
17%
Draws
13%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sint Maarten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Saint Kitts and Nevis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Kitts and Nevis Sint Maarten
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Sint Maarten
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:3
May 25, 1993 Caribbean Cup
Sint Maarten vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Pata I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Kitts and Nevis 65 / 100
Sint Maarten 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Kitts and Nevis Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Saint Kitts and Nevis scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saint Kitts and Nevis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Kitts and Nevis VS Sint Maarten
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211