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Stadium Background

Saint Martin vs Barbados

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Antonio Trinidad Stadium, Rincon
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Leo J.
57' Event
Leo J.
84' Event
Oughterson J.

AI Match Summary

Saint Martin in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Saint Martin
15%
Draws
17%
Barbados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Saint Martin have won more games recently than Barbados.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Saint Martin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saint Martin have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 17%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Martin Barbados
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Saint Martin vs Barbados
3:1
Nov 16, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Barbados
1:0
Sep 5, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs Saint Martin
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Barbados Compare

Top Goalscorer Oughterson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Martin 84 / 100
Barbados 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Martin Barbados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Saint Martin scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Saint Martin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Martin VS Barbados
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Martin

(Home)
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2
Saint Martin
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Barbados

(Away)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
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