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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Jamaica

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Arnos Vale Stadium, Kingstown
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Adams S. In: Velox O.
Out: Adams S.
65' Event
Anderson O.
68'
Sub
McCalla S. In: Cephas R.
Out: McCalla S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6%
Draws
4%
Jamaica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jamaica come out ahead of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saint Vincent and the Grenadines a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Jamaica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 15%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Jamaica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Gold Cup
Jamaica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3:0
Mar 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Jamaica
1:1
Jun 3, 2008 Friendly International
Jamaica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
5:1
Sep 29, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Jamaica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:2
Sep 2, 2000 World Championship
Jamaica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Jamaica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 84 / 100
Jamaica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Jamaica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Jamaica has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS Jamaica
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
09 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 0
Cuba
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Jamaica

(Away)
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
D.R. Congo
1 : 0
Jamaica
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Costa Rica13
Belize1
Jamaica4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1
Honduras7
Bermuda3
Guatemala4
Guyana3
Trinidad & Tobago6
Cuba1
Martinique0
Suriname2
Nicaragua0
Guadeloupe2