Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sakaryaspor vs Adanademirspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum, Adapazari
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
22' Event
Yavuz S.
45' Event
Demir E.

AI Match Summary

Sakaryaspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sakaryaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sakaryaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Adanademirspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakaryaspor have won more games recently than Adanademirspor.
  • Sakaryaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sakaryaspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Adanademirspor
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Adanademirspor
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Sakaryaspor
0:6
Feb 23, 2011 2. Lig Red Group
Sakaryaspor vs Adanademirspor
1:0
Oct 10, 2010 2. Lig Red Group
Adanademirspor vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
Mar 13, 2004 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Adanademirspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bostan M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yavuz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Adanademirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 85 / 100
Adanademirspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Adanademirspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanademirspor has conceded goals in 100% of their last 31 outings.

Adanademirspor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Adanademirspor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakaryaspor

(Home)
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0
Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4
Corum FK
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1
Sakaryaspor
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2
Erokspor
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 7

Adanademirspor

(Away)
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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