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Sakaryaspor vs Bandirmaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sakaryaspor play Bandirmaspor in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sakaryaspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Bandirmaspor averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Sakaryaspor won 1, Bandirmaspor won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Sakaryaspor and 1.00 for Bandirmaspor. This points to a Bandirmaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sakaryaspor
35%
Draws
43%
Bandirmaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bandirmaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Sakaryaspor picked up more points recently compared to Bandirmaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 23%
Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Bandirmaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bandirmaspor
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Sakaryaspor
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bandirmaspor
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Sakaryaspor
3:2
Feb 2, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bandirmaspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwolinski L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bandirmaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndongala D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 24 / 100
Bandirmaspor 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Bandirmaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bandirmaspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sakaryaspor attacking → ← attacking Bandirmaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakaryaspor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Bandirmaspor let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sakaryaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bandirmaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 46
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54