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Sakaryaspor vs Corum FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Samudio B.
Assist: Gurbulak O.
47'
Kutuk S.
55'
Sub
Owusu In: Demir E.
Out: Owusu

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Sakaryaspor and Corum FK finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corum FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sakaryaspor
6%
Draws
90%
Corum FK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Corum FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corum FK come out ahead of Sakaryaspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Corum FK a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Corum FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Corum FK
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Corum FK
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 1. Lig
Corum FK vs Sakaryaspor
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Corum FK
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 1. Lig
Corum FK vs Sakaryaspor
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Corum FK
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Corum FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Samudio B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erdogan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 10 / 100
Corum FK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Corum FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corum FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Sakaryaspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Corum FK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54