Sport Picks
Sakaryaspor vs Vanspor FK
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum, Adapazari 
Match Events
30'
30'
Fofana M.
Assist: Sen K.
33'
33'
Pena S.
36'
36'
Sub
Bingol M. In: Traore A.
Out: Bingol M.
AI Match Summary
Sakaryaspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sakaryaspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vanspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sakaryaspor haven't matched Vanspor FK's recent run of results.
- Model gives Vanspor FK a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 18%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Vanspor FK
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 1. Lig
Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
3:2
Feb 6, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Sakaryaspor vs Vanspor FK
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
May 16, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Sakaryaspor vs Vanspor FK
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sakaryaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruan Teixeira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Vanspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Hostikka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sakaryaspor 10 / 100
Vanspor FK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sakaryaspor Vanspor FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanspor FK has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Vanspor FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Sakaryaspor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Sakaryaspor VS Vanspor FK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sakaryaspor
(Home) 01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0 Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4 Corum FK
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1 Sakaryaspor
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2 Erokspor
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0 Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4 Corum FK
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2 Erokspor
04 Apr
Sakaryaspor
2 : 2 Istanbulspor AS
15 Mar
Sakaryaspor
2 : 1 Vanspor FK
06 Mar
Sakaryaspor
4 : 0 Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 4
Vanspor FK
(Away) 01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1 Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Vanspor FK
1 : 3 Istanbulspor AS
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
12 Apr
Vanspor FK
0 : 1 Manisa FK
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6 Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1 Vanspor FK
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6 Vanspor FK
04 Apr
Keciorengucu
3 : 0 Vanspor FK
15 Mar
Sakaryaspor
2 : 1 Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
