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Salam Zgharta vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Hamadi S.
40'
Mallah H.
40'
Mallah H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Salam Zgharta and Al Ghazieh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Salam Zgharta
11%
Draws
9%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Salam Zgharta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ghazieh come out ahead of Salam Zgharta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Salam Zgharta a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salam Zgharta Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Salam Zgharta
3:0
Dec 12, 2020 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Salam Zgharta
2:1
Nov 3, 2019 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Salam Zgharta
0:0
Jan 26, 2019 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Al Ghazieh
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salam Zgharta Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelwahhab I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamadi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salam Zgharta 86 / 100
Al Ghazieh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salam Zgharta Al Ghazieh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ghazieh has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Salam Zgharta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Ghazieh's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ghazieh
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salam Zgharta

(Home)
10 Mar
Safa
1 : 1
Salam Zgharta
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Salam Zgharta
2 : 1
Tripoli SC
19 Feb
Salam Zgharta
2 : 1
Al Hikma
11 Feb
Tadamon
1 : 0
Salam Zgharta
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Al Ghazieh

(Away)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Losers stage)