Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salaspils FK vs Valmiera 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Murza A.
17' Event
Dusalijevs N.
22' Event
Rascevskis O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2022 game between Salaspils FK and Valmiera 2 finished 1-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salaspils FK
20%
Draws
29%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Salaspils FK haven't matched Valmiera 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Valmiera 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.78
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.91 2.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 1. Liga
Salaspils FK vs Valmiera 2
1:10
May 29, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Salaspils FK
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mantrovs R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.95

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murza A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dusalijevs N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.32
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 29 / 100
Valmiera 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salaspils FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Salaspils FK scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Valmiera 2 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Salaspils FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Valmiera 2
2.57 Goals Scored 1.25
3.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salaspils FK

(Home)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jelgava 26 24 1 1 76:13 73
2 Riga FC 2 26 19 3 4 84:27 60
3 Grobina 26 17 2 7 85:39 53
4 Valmiera 2 26 17 1 8 90:37 52
5 RFS 2 26 14 4 8 75:43 46
6 Alberts JDFS 26 13 6 7 38:25 45
7 Skanste 26 10 7 9 34:41 37
8 AFA Olaine 26 7 4 15 38:72 25
9 Salaspils FK 26 7 4 15 40:75 25
10 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 6 5 15 34:49 23
11 Tukums 2000 2 26 6 4 16 33:66 22
12 Dinamo Riga 26 6 4 16 17:57 22
13 Rezekne 26 6 3 17 33:70 21
14 FK Smiltene 26 4 4 18 24:87 16
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Relegation)