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Salaspils FK vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Murza A.
17' Event
Dusalijevs N.
22' Event
Rascevskis O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2022 game between Salaspils FK and Valmiera 2 finished 1-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Salaspils FK
39%
Draws
31%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Salaspils FK haven't matched Valmiera 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Valmiera 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 2.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.86 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Salaspils FK vs Valmiera 2
1:10
May 29, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Valmiera 2 vs Salaspils FK
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mantrovs R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.28

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murza A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dusalijevs N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 29 / 100
Valmiera 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Salaspils FK scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Valmiera 2 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Salaspils FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Valmiera 2
2.57 Goals Scored 1.25
3.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jelgava26241176:1373
2Riga FC 226193484:2760
3Grobina26172785:3953
4Valmiera 226171890:3752
5RFS 226144875:4346
6Alberts JDFS26136738:2545
7Skanste26107934:4137
8AFA Olaine26741538:7225
9Salaspils FK26741540:7525
10Saldus SS/Leevon26651534:4923
11Tukums 2000 226641633:6622
12Dinamo Riga26641617:5722
13Rezekne26631733:7021
14FK Smiltene26441824:8716