Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saldus SS/Leevon vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Forbia G.
16' Event
Forbia G.
61' Event
Calitis M.

AI Match Summary

Saldus SS/Leevon in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saldus SS/Leevon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saldus SS/Leevon
20%
Draws
40%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Saldus SS/Leevon have won more games recently than AFA Olaine.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Saldus SS/Leevon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saldus SS/Leevon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 15%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saldus SS/Leevon AFA Olaine
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs AFA Olaine
4:0
Apr 29, 2023 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:2
Nov 5, 2022 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:2
Jul 23, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs AFA Olaine
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbia G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Calitis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

AFA Olaine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saldus SS/Leevon 84 / 100
AFA Olaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saldus SS/Leevon AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saldus SS/Leevon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AFA Olaine conceded in 94% of 33 recent games.

Saldus SS/Leevon's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Saldus SS/Leevon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AFA Olaine
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Saldus SS/Leevon

(Home)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)