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Salem City vs North Carolina FC U23

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Carolina FC U23 in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Carolina FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Salem City
39%
Draws
31%
North Carolina FC U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salem City lately — more wins on the board than North Carolina FC U23.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Salem City Clean Sheet 11%
North Carolina FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salem City North Carolina FC U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 USL League Two
Salem City vs North Carolina FC U23
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
Salem City vs North Carolina FC U23
2:1
May 21, 2025 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Salem City
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salem City 29 / 100
North Carolina FC U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salem City North Carolina FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salem City scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

North Carolina FC U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Salem City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salem City VS North Carolina FC U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Salem City

(Home)
11 Jul
Salem City
1 : 0
Wake FC
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
Port City
1 : 2
Salem City
27 Jun
South Carolina United Bantams
3 : 3
Salem City
23 Jun
Salem City
1 : 2
Asheville City
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North Carolina FC U23

(Away)
11 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
3 : 1
North Carolina FC U23
08 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
3 : 5
Charlotte Eagles
05 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 2
Asheville City
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
20 Jun
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 1
Port City
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