Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salthill vs Liffey Wanderers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Molloy T.
47' Event
Darcy D.
82' Event
Ellis J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Salthill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salthill
20%
Draws
29%
Liffey Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Liffey Wanderers haven't matched Salthill's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Salthill have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Salthill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Salthill Clean Sheet 14%
Liffey Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salthill Liffey Wanderers
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 8 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Salthill vs Liffey Wanderers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salthill Compare

Top Goalscorer Molloy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darcy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Liffey Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salthill 30 / 100
Liffey Wanderers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salthill Liffey Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salthill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liffey Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Salthill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Liffey Wanderers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salthill VS Liffey Wanderers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.29
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Salthill

(Home)
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
15 Aug
Salthill
0 : 4
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Liffey Wanderers

(Away)
16 May
Liffey Wanderers
1 : 2
Ringmahon Rangers
18 May
Salthill
2 : 1
Liffey Wanderers
25 Mar
Liffey Wanderers
3 : 2
Wayside Celtic
26 Sept
Kilnamanagh
3 : 3
Liffey Wanderers
25 Jul
Liffey Wanderers
0 : 2
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0