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Saluzzo vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Castineira G.
78' Event
Magnaldi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Saluzzo and Borgaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saluzzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Saluzzo
30%
Draws
28%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Saluzzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saluzzo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 16%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Borgaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.52 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Borgaro
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Saluzzo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castineira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnaldi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Borgaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 84 / 100
Borgaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Saluzzo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Saluzzo scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 7

Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)