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Saluzzo vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pastore M.
11' Event
Valenti D.
90' Event
Vuthaj D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Saluzzo and Ligorna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Saluzzo
30%
Draws
33%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Saluzzo haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saluzzo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 68%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Ligorna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.39 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Ligorna
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Saluzzo
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Saluzzo
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Ligorna
3:2
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Ligorna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vuthaj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 77 / 100
Ligorna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Saluzzo scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Ligorna let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Saluzzo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS Ligorna
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
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Ligorna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)