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Salvatierra vs Eibar B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salvatierra play Eibar B in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Eibar B are favorites here. Recently, Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Eibar B averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Salvatierra won 0, Eibar B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2010 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Salvatierra and 0.99 for Eibar B. This points to a Eibar B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Salvatierra
17%
Draws
70%
Eibar B
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Eibar B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Salvatierra picked up more points recently compared to Eibar B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Salvatierra Clean Sheet 23%
Eibar B Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salvatierra Eibar B
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Salvatierra vs Eibar B
0:1
Sep 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar B vs Salvatierra
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 16 / 100
Eibar B 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salvatierra Eibar B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Eibar B & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salvatierra attacking → ← attacking Eibar B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Eibar B let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Salvatierra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Eibar B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013