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Salzburg vs Hartberg Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Salzburg Logo

Salzburg

1 - 0
FT
Hartberg Logo

Hartberg

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gerstl F. In: Pazourek L.
Out: Gerstl F.
46'
Sub
Postl M. In: Gattermayer A.
Out: Postl M.
61'
Sub
Vertessen Y. In: Tabakovic H.
Out: Vertessen Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salzburg in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Salzburg
30%
Draws
37%
Hartberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hartberg haven't matched Salzburg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hartberg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 12%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg Hartberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.27 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Hartberg
1:0
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Hartberg
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Salzburg
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Hartberg
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs Salzburg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Hartberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg 27 / 100
Hartberg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg Hartberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salzburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Hartberg let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Salzburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg VS Hartberg
2.88 Goals Scored 2.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Salzburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

Hartberg

(Away)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)