Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samambaense U20 vs Paranoa U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paranoa U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranoa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samambaense U20
15%
Draws
85%
Paranoa U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Paranoa U20 have won more games recently than Samambaense U20.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Paranoa U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paranoa U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Paranoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samambaense U20 Paranoa U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 4.93 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Paranoa U20 vs Samambaense U20
4:0
Jun 5, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Paranoa U20
0:3
May 13, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Paranoa U20
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samambaense U20 10 / 100
Paranoa U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samambaense U20 Paranoa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranoa U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Paranoa U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Paranoa U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Samambaense U20 scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Samambaense U20 VS Paranoa U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Samambaense U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
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Paranoa U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Paranoa U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro DF U20
11 Jul
Canaa U20
7 : 0
Paranoa U20
04 Jul
Paranoa U20
0 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
28 Jun
Luziania U20
0 : 2
Paranoa U20
20 Jun
Planaltina U20
3 : 2
Paranoa U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)