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Samaritaine vs Etoile de Basse-Pointe Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2010/2011 game between Samaritaine and Etoile de Basse-Pointe finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
48%
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile de Basse-Pointe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Samaritaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Samaritaine are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de Basse-Pointe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Etoile de Basse-Pointe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2011 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Etoile de Basse-Pointe
3:1
Jan 15, 2011 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Etoile de Basse-Pointe vs Samaritaine
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 40 / 100
Etoile de Basse-Pointe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Etoile de Basse-Pointe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Samaritaine scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Etoile de Basse-Pointe has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Etoile de Basse-Pointe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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Etoile de Basse-Pointe

(Away)
01 Jun
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
2 : 5
Belimois
25 May
Diamantinoise
4 : 3
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
18 May
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
1 : 3
RC Riviere-Pilote
11 May
Marinoise
2 : 0
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
04 May
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
1 : 0
Good Luck
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