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Samger vs Hart Academy

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sambou L.
28' Event
Nfansu D.
60' Event
Jallow A.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Samger and Hart Academy finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hart Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Samger
35%
Draws
27%
Hart Academy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hart Academy come out ahead of Samger on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Samger's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samger Hart Academy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Samger
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Hart Academy
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hart Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambou L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nfansu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samger 59 / 100
Hart Academy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samger Hart Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hart Academy let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Samger scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samger VS Hart Academy
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samger

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

Hart Academy

(Away)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)