Sport Picks

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Samger vs Medina United

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Colley P.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Samger and Medina United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Samger
35%
Draws
40%
Medina United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Samger haven't matched Medina United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samger Medina United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Medina United
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Samger
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samger 42 / 100
Medina United 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samger Medina United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Medina United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Samger found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Samger VS Medina United
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samger

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

Medina United

(Away)
05 Sept
Star Sport Academy
0 : 0
Medina United
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)