Sport Picks

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Samorin vs Malzenice

Slovakia Slovakia

2. liga Pomlé Štadión, Šamorín
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samorin host Malzenice in the 2. liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Samorin have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Malzenice's 1.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Samorin slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.75 - 1.44) back Samorin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Samorin
11%
Draws
9%
Malzenice
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Samorin average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Malzenice's 1.63.
  • Model gives Samorin a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samorin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Samorin Clean Sheet 16%
Malzenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samorin Malzenice
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 2. liga
Malzenice vs Samorin
2:3
Jan 30, 2026 Tipsport liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 2. liga
Samorin vs Malzenice
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 2. liga
Malzenice vs Samorin
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samorin 75 / 100
Malzenice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samorin Malzenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samorin scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Malzenice conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Samorin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samorin VS Malzenice
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samorin

(Home)
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
10 Jul
Spartak Trnava
2 : 2
Samorin
08 Jul
Samorin
7 : 0
MSK Senec
27 Jun
Inter Bratislava
2 : 0
Samorin
20 Jun
Dun. Streda
2 : 3
Samorin
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Malzenice

(Away)
18 Jul
Hodonin
2 : 1
Malzenice
15 Jul
Malzenice
0 : 2
Brno B
14 Jul
Malzenice
1 : 1
Besiktas
08 Jul
Malzenice
4 : 0
Boleraz
01 Jul
Galanta
2 : 3
Malzenice
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Z. Moravce-Vrable00000:00
2Presov00000:00
3Petrzalka00000:00
4Inter Bratislava00000:00
5L. Mikulas00000:00
6Zilina B00000:00
7Zvolen00000:00
8Samorin00000:00
9Slovan Bratislava B00000:00
10Povazska Bystrica00000:00
11FK Pohronie00000:00
12Malzenice00000:00
13Galanta00000:00
14Bytca00000:00
15FK Humenne00000:00
16Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom00000:00
Promotion - Nike liga 2027/2028 (Main)
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