Sport Picks

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Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kayck

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa FE U20 in this Carioca U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampaio Correa FE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
39%
Draws
30%
Portuguesa RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Portuguesa RJ U20 have won more games recently than Sampaio Correa FE U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Portuguesa RJ U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE U20 Portuguesa RJ U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.6 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Carioca U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Portuguesa RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE U20 32 / 100
Portuguesa RJ U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Portuguesa RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Portuguesa RJ U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sampaio Correa FE U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE U20 VS Portuguesa RJ U20
1.6 Goals Scored 0.88
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Madureira U20
2 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
04 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
2 : 0
Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
20 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Bangu U20
12 Sept
Boavista U20
2 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE U20
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Portuguesa RJ U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 4
Fluminense U20
25 Mar
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
22 Mar
Boavista U20
2 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
18 Mar
Portuguesa RJ U20
4 : 1
Volta Redonda U20
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)