Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampaio Correa U20 vs Vila Nova FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Caio Jeronimo
31' Event
Fillipi Samuel
61' Event
Kayo Fonseca

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 B 2025 game between Sampaio Correa U20 and Vila Nova FC U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vila Nova FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sampaio Correa U20
22%
Draws
18%
Vila Nova FC U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sampaio Correa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sampaio Correa U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sampaio Correa U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Vila Nova FC U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa U20 Vila Nova FC U20
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Brasileiro U20 B
Sampaio Correa U20 vs Vila Nova FC U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayo Fonseca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vila Nova FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Jeronimo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fillipi Samuel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa U20 58 / 100
Vila Nova FC U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa U20 Vila Nova FC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa U20 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Vila Nova FC U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sampaio Correa U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa U20 VS Vila Nova FC U20
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa U20

(Home)
05 Apr
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 1
Madureira U20
29 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa U20
25 Mar
Cabofriense U20
2 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
21 Mar
Sampaio Correa U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
18 Mar
Vasco U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa U20
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Vila Nova FC U20
1 : 4
Atletico GO U20
06 Jun
Atletico GO U20
3 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
31 May
Vila Nova FC U20
4 : 2
Goiania U20
27 May
Sport Recife U20
5 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
23 May
Goiania U20
2 : 2
Vila Nova FC U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria U20741215:913
2Vila Nova FC U20741213:1113
3Goias U20732214:811
4Sport Recife U2073227:511
5Botafogo SP U20723211:99
6Ceara U2072239:118
7Sampaio Correa U2072149:167
8CRB U2072059:186
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ituano U20760118:318
2Criciuma U20751114:516
3Avai U20741214:1013
4Ponte Preta U20732211:911
5Coritiba U20724111:610
6Chapecoense-SC U2071244:105
7Operario PR U2071246:145
8Brusque U2070077:280
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B 2025 (Play Offs)