Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ljutomer in this 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sampion Celje
30%
Draws
39%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ljutomer lately — more wins on the board than Sampion Celje.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampion Celje Ljutomer
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
May 24, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
3:0
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:2
May 4, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Ljutomer
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Sampion Celje
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampion Celje 34 / 100
Ljutomer 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampion Celje Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Sampion Celje found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sampion Celje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampion Celje VS Ljutomer
1.43 Goals Scored 2.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampion Celje

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Sampion Celje
1 : 1
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

Ljutomer

(Away)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)