Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Telavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Salukvadze L.
24' Event
Devdariani A.
Assist: Ivaniadze G.
30'
Jangidze T.

AI Match Summary

Telavi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Samtredia
20%
Draws
20%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Telavi lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%
Telavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Telavi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
0:3
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Telavi
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
2:0
Dec 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Samtredia
5:2
Sep 26, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Telavi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Telavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Salukvadze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devdariani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 95 / 100
Telavi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Samtredia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Telavi conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Telavi
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0
Odishi 1919
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
15 Aug
Samtredia
1 : 0
Gori
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Telavi

(Away)
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Telavi
1 : 0
Merani Martvili
15 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Telavi
08 Aug
Telavi
0 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 24 13 8 3 32:20 47
2 Telavi 24 11 7 6 25:21 40
3 Shturmi 24 9 9 6 25:22 36
4 Dusheti 24 9 5 10 27:32 32
5 Bolnisi 24 8 8 8 32:29 32
6 Merani Martvili 24 8 7 9 25:27 31
7 Samtredia 24 9 4 11 37:38 31
8 Odishi 1919 24 7 7 10 27:34 28
9 Gori 24 6 7 11 23:30 25
10 Kolkheti 1913 24 5 8 11 31:31 23
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)