Sport Picks
San Antonio FC vs Sacramento Republic
USA
USL Championship Toyota Field 
AI Match Summary
San Antonio FC play Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio FC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sacramento Republic averaged 1.26 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio FC won 2, Sacramento Republic won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for San Antonio FC and 1.31 for Sacramento Republic. This points to a San Antonio FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Antonio FC picked up more points recently compared to Sacramento Republic.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Antonio FC | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Antonio FC Compare
Sacramento Republic Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Antonio FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Sacramento Republic let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Sacramento Republic lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |